Amorebieta 0-2 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.94
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
19%
5.22
X/2
12%
5.46
X/X
14%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
4.2
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.6pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Eldense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
273 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Eldense Eldense 2-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
08.04.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-0 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS3
10.12.2022 Eldense Eldense 1-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
0-2
AWAY Eldense
0.44 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
359 Passes 270
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense saw off Amorebieta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Eldense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amorebieta had 57% of the ball to Eldense's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.44 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Amorebieta and 1.00 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Eldense?

Amorebieta 0-2 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 35%, draw 28%, Eldense 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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