Osnabrück 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.96
6+ Goals
12%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.59
X/2
12%
7.02
X/X
13%
4.52
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.42
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.57
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 146 · 59%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
23.3 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 2.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
313 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
31.03.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
21.10.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
25.02.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 4-1 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
20.08.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
22.01.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
0-1
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
376 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden edged past Osnabrück 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Wehen Wiesbaden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 58% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osnabrück and 1.00 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Osnabrück 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 39%, draw 27%, Wehen Wiesbaden 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osnabrück) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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