Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.11
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
14%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
4.21
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
0.77/4.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
13.0 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.07 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
21.10.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
25.02.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 4-1 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
20.08.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
22.01.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
14.08.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2-1
AWAY Osnabrück
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
388 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden nicked a narrow win over Osnabrück 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wehen Wiesbaden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 60% of the ball to Osnabrück's 40%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.00 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Osnabrück?

Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 41%, draw 28%, Osnabrück 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
28 Sep 2024
00:00 Borussia Dortmund II vs 1860 München Analysis →
15:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen Analysis →
15:00 Hannover 96 II vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
15:00 Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue Analysis →
17:30 Energie Cottbus vs Saarbrücken Analysis →