Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Waldhof Mannheim
1-0 HT 0-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.15
X/2
8%
6.39
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
18%
4.09
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.10/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.25
+32% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
12.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
16.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
22.10.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-2 HT 1-2 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
239 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waldhof Mannheim as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 42% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 58%, shots finished 15-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 43%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Essen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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