Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2024

Waldhof Mannheim
0-2 HT 0-1
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
12%
6.83
X/X
14%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.54
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.05/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.32
+28% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.8 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
16.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
22.10.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-2 HT 1-2 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
0-2
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen got the better of Waldhof Mannheim 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Waldhof Mannheim at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 58% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 42%, shots finished 27-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.33 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 42%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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