Ulm 1846 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
11%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.04
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.67
X/2
9%
6.73
X/X
9%
4.1
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.12
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.89/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.78
+18% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
1-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 61% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 39%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Jahn Regensburg?

Ulm 1846 1-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 43%, draw 25%, Jahn Regensburg 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ BTTS Yes
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