Preussen Münster 2-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2024

Preussen Münster
2-0 HT 1-0
Freiburg II
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Preussen Münster vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
7%
12.55
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
9%
9.73
2/X
6%
17.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preussen Münster v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.57/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.96
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.5 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Preussen Münster vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Freiburg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster beat Freiburg II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Preussen Münster as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Freiburg II?

Preussen Münster 2-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 55%, draw 24%, Freiburg II 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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