Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Borussia Dortmund II
1-2
1860 München
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Borussia Dortmund II vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
10%
5.88
X/X
17%
5.11
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.94
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -17%
1.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
-14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
12.0 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Borussia Dortmund II vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY 1860 München
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
03.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
26.03.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-4 HT 0-3 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
01.10.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
14.05.2022 1860 München 1860 München 6-3 HT 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
11.12.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3

Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1-2
AWAY 1860 München
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München squeezed past Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; 1860 München found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 46% of the ball to 1860 München's 54%, shots finished 18-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.83 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs 1860 München?

Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 38%, draw 29%, 1860 München 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✗ BTTS No
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