Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Viktoria Köln v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
1-1
HT 0-1
Viktoria Köln
AL3
3-0
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
Viktoria Köln 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Viktoria Köln beat Erzgebirge Aue 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Viktoria Köln found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Viktoria Köln had 44% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 56%, shots finished 6-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.25 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Viktoria Köln 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 38%, draw 24%, Erzgebirge Aue 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.