Energie Cottbus 4-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Energie Cottbus
4-1 HT 2-1
Saarbrücken
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Energie Cottbus vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
11%
6.68
X/2
13%
4.97
X/X
14%
5.48
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
2.88
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.25/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.92
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.4 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Energie Cottbus vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
26.03.2006 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
23.10.2005 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-3 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
04.02.2005 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
29.08.2004 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Energie Cottbus 4-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
4-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 366
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus ran out comfortable winners over Saarbrücken 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Energie Cottbus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 42% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 58%, shots finished 19-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Energie Cottbus and 0.75 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Saarbrücken?

Energie Cottbus 4-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 33%, draw 28%, Saarbrücken 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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