Green Gully 0-5 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.98/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.78
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Dandenong City
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
342 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 2-3 HT 0-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
05.04.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-4 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.03.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.04.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City swept aside Green Gully 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Dandenong City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Green Gully and 1.20 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Dandenong City?

Green Gully 0-5 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 40%, draw 22%, Dandenong City 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Green Gully), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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