Dandenong City 1-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.2pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 39%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.60
-41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
253 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
224 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-4 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.03.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.04.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City and Green Gully shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Green Gully led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dandenong City and 2.00 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Green Gully?

Dandenong City 1-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 39%, draw 22%, Green Gully 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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