NE MetroStars 4-1 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
29%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
68%
-22.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.7pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+15.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 17%
-22% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.04/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.44
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-2 HT 0-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
10.03.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-6 HT 1-3 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
10.06.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-4 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
06.03.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-2 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
07.09.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-3 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
07.05.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars swept aside Croydon Kings 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.00 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Croydon Kings?

NE MetroStars 4-1 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 46%, draw 25%, Croydon Kings 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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