Adelaide City 1-3 Campbelltown City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Campbelltown City EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.17/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.80
-26% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Campbelltown City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-2 HT 0-2 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
29.04.2023 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 2-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
27.08.2022 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
21.08.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
27.05.2022 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 0-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
18.02.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-1 HT 0-0 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Campbelltown City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campbelltown City saw off Adelaide City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Campbelltown City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide City and 1.17 for Campbelltown City.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Campbelltown City?

Adelaide City 1-3 Campbelltown City in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Campbelltown City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Campbelltown City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 31%, draw 28%, Campbelltown City 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campbelltown City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Campbelltown City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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