South Adelaide Panthers 0-4 Modbury Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.9pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 62%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -71% / -71%
1.41/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -68%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Adelaide Panthers
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Modbury Jets
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 24
10 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 2-4 HT 1-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
25.03.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 4-3 HT 1-2 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Adelaide Panthers vs Modbury Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets swept aside South Adelaide Panthers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Modbury Jets as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Modbury Jets led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for South Adelaide Panthers and 4.00 for Modbury Jets.

What was the final score of South Adelaide Panthers vs Modbury Jets?

South Adelaide Panthers 0-4 Modbury Jets in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Adelaide Panthers vs Modbury Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split South Adelaide Panthers 27%, draw 21%, Modbury Jets 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modbury Jets), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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