USM Alger 1-0 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

USM Alger
1-0 HT 1-0
Mostaganem
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Algeria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

USM Alger vs Mostaganem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v Mostaganem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.73/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.14
+16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

USM Alger 1-0 Mostaganem — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-0
AWAY Mostaganem
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past Mostaganem 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, USM Alger had 54% of the ball to Mostaganem's 46%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Mostaganem?

USM Alger 1-0 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 60%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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