USM Khenchela 3-2 ASO Chlef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.6
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.43/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.54
+10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-1D-2L
AWAY ASO Chlef
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 1-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
17.05.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 4-1 HT 2-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
29.12.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-1 HT 0-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
15.07.2023 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
24.12.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs ASO Chlef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela edged past ASO Chlef 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day USM Khenchela made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.60 for ASO Chlef.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs ASO Chlef?

USM Khenchela 3-2 ASO Chlef in the Algeria - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs ASO Chlef?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 40%, draw 33%, ASO Chlef 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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