ASO Chlef 1-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

ASO Chlef
1-1
USM Khenchela
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

ASO Chlef vs USM Khenchela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
6.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.0pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ASO Chlef v USM Khenchela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.77/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.64
+15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

ASO Chlef vs USM Khenchela Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASO Chlef
2W-0D-2L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 4-1 HT 2-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
29.12.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-1 HT 0-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
15.07.2023 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
24.12.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
POST-MATCH ASO Chlef vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASO Chlef and USM Khenchela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was ASO Chlef at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for ASO Chlef and 1.25 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of ASO Chlef vs USM Khenchela?

ASO Chlef 1-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASO Chlef vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASO Chlef win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ASO Chlef 51%, draw 26%, USM Khenchela 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ASO Chlef), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ASO Chlef) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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