FC Fredericia 0-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

FC Fredericia
0-2 HT 0-1
Hillerod
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

FC Fredericia vs Hillerod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.34
6+ Goals
7%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.3
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.28
X/2
12%
5.32
X/X
17%
4.59
2/1
14%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.33
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Fredericia v Hillerod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.66/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.08
+39% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.1 Crosses 20.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

FC Fredericia vs Hillerod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hillerod
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
20.10.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
11.08.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
26.05.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 4-0 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
29.04.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
19.02.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1

FC Fredericia 0-2 Hillerod — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
0-2
AWAY Hillerod
0.64 xG 1.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
472 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 11
44 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod saw off FC Fredericia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Hillerod made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 60% of the ball to Hillerod's 40%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.64 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.00 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Hillerod?

FC Fredericia 0-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 36%, draw 30%, Hillerod 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Fredericia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Under 2.5
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