Kerala Blasters 1-0 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 7 Mar 2025

Kerala Blasters
1-0 HT 0-0
Mumbai City
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.18/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.15
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.2 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.24 xG 1.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 Passes 357
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-2 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
24.12.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-0 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
08.10.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
08.01.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-0 HT 4-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
28.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 0-2 HT 0-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
02.03.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL

Kerala Blasters 1-0 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
1-0
AWAY Mumbai City
0.81 xG 0.39
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
275 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters nicked a narrow win over Mumbai City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mumbai City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 41% of the ball to Mumbai City's 59%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.81 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerala Blasters and 2.17 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?

Kerala Blasters 1-0 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 27%, draw 27%, Mumbai City 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mumbai City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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