Shams Azar Qazvin 3-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.38
Over 2.5
40%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.45
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.9pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
69%
-8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
31%
+8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 30%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.34/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.69
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.10.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
28.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
22.08.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin got the better of Mes Rafsanjan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 37% / 30%) promised a tight game; Shams Azar Qazvin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shams Azar Qazvin had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 0.00 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 3-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 34%, draw 37%, Mes Rafsanjan 30%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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