Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.47
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.47/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.21
+39% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
22.08.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin nicked a narrow win over Mes Rafsanjan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mes Rafsanjan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shams Azar Qazvin led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.50 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Rafsanjan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 46%, draw 27%, Shams Azar Qazvin 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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