Zob Ahan 0-4 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.26
Over 2.5
29%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.67
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
14%
9.56
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.3pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
76%
-4.6pp
29%
Over 2.5
24%
+4.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.7pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
0.71/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.08
-38% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
21.04.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 2-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
02.11.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
24.04.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
19.12.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
11.03.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 4-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
30.11.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak cruised past Zob Ahan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Aluminium Arak found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zob Ahan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zob Ahan and 0.17 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Zob Ahan 0-4 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 34%, draw 33%, Aluminium Arak 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Zob Ahan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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