Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
18%
7.77
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.65/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.84
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Malavan FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
08.10.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
01.02.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
25.08.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 2-2 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
29.04.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRANK
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran and Malavan FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Malavan FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 1.25 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Malavan FC?

Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 34%, draw 31%, Malavan FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malavan FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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