Al Rayyan 5-1 Al Khor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.3pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khor EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
2.23/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.52
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
18.9 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Khor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 0.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
429 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Al Khor Al Khor 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
09.05.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 4-1 Al Khor Al Khor KATEK
18.01.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
27.09.2021 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
09.04.2021 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
27.12.2020 Al Khor Al Khor 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
5-1
AWAY Al Khor
2.82 xG 1.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 11
14 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
383 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Khor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan ran out comfortable winners over Al Khor 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 59% of the ball to Al Khor's 41%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 2.82 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Rayyan and 0.83 for Al Khor.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Khor?

Al Rayyan 5-1 Al Khor in the Qatar League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Khor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 57%, draw 19%, Al Khor 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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