Spartak Subotica 0-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.24/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.76
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
19.0 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-2D-0L
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
19.10.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
0-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
0.30 xG 0.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
376 Passes 198
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
10 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd squeezed past Spartak Subotica 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day OFK Beograd made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 61% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 39%, shots finished 9-3, expected goals 0.30 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs OFK Beograd?

Spartak Subotica 0-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 32%, draw 29%, OFK Beograd 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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