URA vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
URA vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
URA 2-1 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics
URA squeezed past UPDF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, URA had 34% of the ball to UPDF's 66%, shots finished 10-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, URA had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for URA and 0.50 for UPDF.
What was the final score of URA vs UPDF?
URA 2-1 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs UPDF?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split URA 51%, draw 23%, UPDF 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.