Al Nahda 1-1 Sur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.05
No
63%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
29%
+8.2pp
63%
BTTS No
71%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nahda EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sur EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.47/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.24
-10% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +21%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
477 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nahda
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Sur
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
15.09.2024 Sur Sur 0-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
19.10.2023 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-0 HT 1-0 Sur Sur UMMSK
07.10.2023 Sur Sur 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
13.12.2022 Al Nahda Al Nahda 2-0 Sur Sur UMM
POST-MATCH Al Nahda vs Sur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nahda and Sur shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nahda at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Nahda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Al Nahda and 0.50 for Sur.

What was the final score of Al Nahda vs Sur?

Al Nahda 1-1 Sur in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nahda vs Sur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nahda win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Nahda 65%, draw 21%, Sur 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nahda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nahda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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