Shanghai Shenhua 5-3 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
22%
4.11
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
11%
8.14
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.87/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.66
+22% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
23.5 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.38 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
443 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 HT 1-2 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
17.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
5-3
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
3.78 xG 1.93
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
518 Passes 187
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua saw off Dalian Zhixing 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 69% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 31%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.78 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.00 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing?

Shanghai Shenhua 5-3 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 55%, draw 22%, Dalian Zhixing 23%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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