Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.08
2-3 Goals
33%
2.2
4-5 Goals
33%
2.34
6+ Goals
15%
4.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.39
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
21.25
X/1
23%
4.09
X/2
3%
22.25
X/X
6%
10.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.0
2/2
5%
17.3
2/X
5%
24.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.0 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-2.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.4pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.70/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.66
+13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
502 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
28.0 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.45 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
367 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
17.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2-2
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.31 xG 0.94
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
519 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
42 Box Touches 17
40 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Dalian Zhixing shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shanghai Shenhua at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 63% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 37%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.31 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 72%, draw 17%, Dalian Zhixing 11%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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