Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Jonoon — Team-Based Signals
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Beijing Guoan 2-4 Qingdao Jonoon — Actual Match Statistics
Qingdao Jonoon beat Beijing Guoan 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Beijing Guoan at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Beijing Guoan had 61% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 39%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.42 to 2.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.
What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Beijing Guoan 2-4 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 66%, draw 15%, Qingdao Jonoon 19%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.