Beijing Guoan 6-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
16%
3.82
X/2
9%
14.65
X/X
9%
7.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.6
2/2
9%
10.5
2/X
5%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.34/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.74
+24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
24.1 Crosses 18.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.01 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
435 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
22.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
25.04.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
6-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
562 Passes 337
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan swept aside Qingdao Jonoon 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 61% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 39%, shots finished 16-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.33 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Beijing Guoan 6-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 58%, draw 20%, Qingdao Jonoon 23%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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