Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
12%
8.66
X/2
16%
4.36
X/X
8%
5.14
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.36
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.06/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.9 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.04 xG 2.47
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
193 Passes 491
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
22.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
25.04.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.76 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
368 Passes 432
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 47% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 53%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.76 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.75 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 28%, draw 24%, Beijing Guoan 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
21 May 2024
14:35 Zhejiang G. FC vs Wuhan Three Towns Analysis →
15:00 Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Taishan Analysis →
15:00 Nantong Zhiyun vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Analysis →