Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.12
X/2
7%
9.3
X/X
16%
5.21
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
13%
6.91
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.05/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.73
-46% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.7 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
441 Passes 237
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 1-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1-1
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.84 xG 0.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
334 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 2
51 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun and Cangzhou Mighty Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nantong Zhiyun at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 58% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 42%, shots finished 27-3, expected goals 1.84 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cangzhou Mighty Lions led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.50 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 46%, draw 29%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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