Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.62
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
9%
11.0
X/X
11%
6.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.85
2/2
15%
7.32
2/X
5%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-8.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.94
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.0 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
270 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
05.05.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
27.12.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
04.10.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
22.12.2021 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN2
05.12.2021 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.12 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
484 Passes 361
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC beat Wuhan Three Towns 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 56% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 44%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.12 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.17 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 50%, draw 21%, Wuhan Three Towns 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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