Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.84
1/2
10%
23.15
1/X
12%
12.65
X/1
13%
7.33
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
14%
2.74
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.13/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.05
+68% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.3 Crosses 13.3
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.22 xG 2.09
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
236 Passes 476
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
22.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
25.04.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.82 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
325 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 54% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 46%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.82 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.40 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 34%, draw 28%, Beijing Guoan 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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