Tianjin Teda 3-2 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
35%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.96
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.33
No
58%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
7.44
2-3 Goals
50%
2.24
4-5 Goals
16%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 7.44 — our 22% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✓
30%
4.39
1/2
4%
19.7
1/X
3%
12.3
X/1
11%
7.79
X/2
8%
5.27
X/X
10%
6.49
2/1
4%
27.0
2/2
23%
2.56
2/X
7%
12.15
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.39 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
30%
+14.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-11.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
71%
-29.0pp
58%
BTTS No
29%
+29.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
1.86/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/2.78
+51% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -68%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
19.2 Crosses 23.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.57
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
225 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
16.07.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-1 HT 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
29.10.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-2 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
3-2
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.73 xG 1.07
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
202 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda squeezed past Zhejiang G. FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 36% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 64%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.73 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tianjin Teda and 2.00 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Tianjin Teda 3-2 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 44%, draw 21%, Zhejiang G. FC 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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