Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
14%
10.15
1/2
7%
20.3
1/X
6%
18.45
X/1
6%
13.05
X/2
16%
4.12
X/X
10%
6.89
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.79
2/X
8%
16.3
Value flag · 1/1 at 10.15 — our 14% vs market 6.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+11.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-14.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 69%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.35/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.20
+20% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -32%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
13.2 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.16 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 434
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
11.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
22.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.97 xG 1.89
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
200 Passes 516
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 33% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 67%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 27%, draw 23%, Beijing Guoan 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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