Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.32
2-3 Goals
41%
2.11
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
15%
4.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.37
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
22.9
X/1
15%
4.01
X/2
5%
24.65
X/X
7%
9.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.95
2/2
7%
20.0
2/X
5%
27.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
75%
-10.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
2.34/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.44
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
25.2 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.56 xG 0.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
410 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
27.10.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 7-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
02.03.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.98 xG 0.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
388 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao and Qingdao Jonoon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Chengdu Qianbao carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 60% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 40%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.98 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.83 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 65%, draw 19%, Qingdao Jonoon 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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