Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
13.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.65
1/X
5%
21.8
X/1
5%
16.15
X/2
19%
3.91
X/X
10%
7.19
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.62
2/X
9%
18.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.65 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.92/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.64
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
13.0 Crosses 22.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.58 xG 2.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
330 Passes 422
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 7-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
02.03.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
06.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.35 xG 3.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
209 Passes 399
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 38% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 62%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.35 to 3.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.33 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 22%, draw 23%, Chengdu Qianbao 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5
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