Wuhan Three Towns 3-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.36
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.36
X/2
10%
6.34
X/X
19%
4.72
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.36
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
2.22/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.06
+36% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
10.0 Crosses 5.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
3-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.01 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 345
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns saw off Yunnan Yukun 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Wuhan Three Towns made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 44% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 56%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.01 to 1.71.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Yunnan Yukun?

Wuhan Three Towns 3-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 36%, draw 32%, Yunnan Yukun 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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