Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.65
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.65
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
27.5
2/2
20%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 38%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.55/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.43
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
30.0 Crosses 14.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1-1
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.93 xG 0.28
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
403 Passes 160
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 2
31 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 66% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 34%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.93 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda?

Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 38%, draw 25%, Tianjin Teda 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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