Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.81
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.25
1/2
7%
19.85
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
5%
14.8
X/2
13%
3.82
X/X
14%
7.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.66
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-12.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 71%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.93/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.72
-58% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -52%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
14.3 Crosses 23.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.80
0.70 xG 2.63
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
324 Passes 466
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 7-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
02.03.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
06.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.11 xG 1.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
354 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
4 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 57% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 43%, shots finished 3-10, expected goals 0.11 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.80 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 20%, draw 26%, Chengdu Qianbao 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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