Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 32% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
11%
4.0
X/2
10%
9.99
X/X
12%
5.62
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
14%
7.4
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.36/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.65
-49% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.0 Crosses 12.8
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 1.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
256 Passes 384
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
23.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
25.04.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
21.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
22.08.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
18.12.2021 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-0
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.97 xG 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
236 Passes 413
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka edged past Wuhan Three Towns 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Meizhou Hakka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 40% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 60%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.97 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Meizhou Hakka's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.67 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 44%, draw 27%, Wuhan Three Towns 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meizhou Hakka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
27 Oct 2024
10:30 Henan Jianye vs Changchun YaTai Analysis →
10:30 Nantong Zhiyun vs Beijing Guoan Analysis →
10:30 Zhejiang G. FC vs Shandong Taishan Analysis →
10:30 Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Jonoon Analysis →
10:30 Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shanghai Port Analysis →
10:30 Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao Analysis →