Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.71
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.45
X/1
7%
6.79
X/2
17%
4.75
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
24%
2.86
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.45 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.59
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.3 Crosses 12.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.70 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 5-2 HT 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
13.08.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
15.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1-3
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.92 xG 1.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
388 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan saw off Nantong Zhiyun 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 56% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 44%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.92 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 2.33 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Beijing Guoan?

Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 26%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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