Tianjin Teda 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
5%
8.75
X/X
10%
5.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.4
2/2
15%
5.95
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.98/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.60
+6% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
25.9 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.80 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 2-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
10.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
22.10.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
28.06.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-2 HT 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.99 xG 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
460 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 64% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 36%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.60 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Tianjin Teda 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 51%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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