Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
6.12
X/2
10%
5.28
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
23%
3.32
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.44/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.13
+40% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +119%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.0 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.50 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 359
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
22.10.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
28.06.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-2 HT 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-1
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.87 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
313 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon got the better of Tianjin Teda 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tianjin Teda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 43% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 57%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.87 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.33 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 34%, draw 25%, Tianjin Teda 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tianjin Teda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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