Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
7%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.04
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
6.91
X/2
10%
4.57
X/X
9%
4.74
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.83
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · X/1 at 6.91 — our 20% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
29%
+14.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
45%
-12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 49%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.00/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.02
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
25.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.71 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
228 Passes 394
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
28.06.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-2 HT 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-3
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.09 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda saw off Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Qingdao Jonoon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 52% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.50 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 43%, draw 23%, Tianjin Teda 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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