Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 Apr 2024

Chengdu Qianbao
3-0 HT 1-0
Zhejiang G. FC
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Chengdu Qianbao vs Zhejiang G. FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.21
X/2
9%
9.78
X/X
14%
5.63
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
17%
6.9
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+12.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chengdu Qianbao v Zhejiang G. FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.7 Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards –

Chengdu Qianbao vs Zhejiang G. FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
253 Passes 318
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
15.12.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
24.10.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
18.12.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 0-2 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN2
30.11.2021 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN2

Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 Zhejiang G. FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3-0
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.71 xG 0.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao ran out comfortable winners over Zhejiang G. FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 46% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.71 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.17 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 41%, draw 26%, Zhejiang G. FC 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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