Beijing Guoan 5-2 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.08
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.02
X/2
11%
10.4
X/X
14%
5.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
13%
7.84
2/X
5%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.74/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.52
+37% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.8 Crosses 20.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.87 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
15.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
5-2
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.30 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
498 Passes 313
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan swept aside Nantong Zhiyun 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 60% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 40%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.30 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.00 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Beijing Guoan 5-2 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 46%, draw 25%, Nantong Zhiyun 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
26 May 2024
14:00 Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →
14:35 Changchun YaTai vs Henan Jianye Analysis →